{"id":6581,"date":"2019-12-12T15:12:32","date_gmt":"2019-12-12T20:12:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/septdays.com\/?p=6581"},"modified":"2019-12-12T15:15:33","modified_gmt":"2019-12-12T20:15:33","slug":"%e4%b8%9b%e5%9f%b9%e6%ad%a6%ef%bc%9a%e5%a6%82%e4%bd%95%e4%ba%86%e8%a7%a3%e5%92%8c%e8%ae%a4%e8%af%86%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/septdays.com\/?p=6581","title":{"rendered":"\u4e1b\u57f9\u6b66\uff1a\u4e86\u89e3\u548c\u8ba4\u8bc6\u4e2d\u56fd\u5e94\u76f8\u4e92\u5c0a\u91cd\u5e73\u7b49\u76f8\u5f85"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u4e03\u5929\u8bb0\u8005 \u989c\u5b8f \u5fb7\u660a \u68a6\u6eaa \u72ec\u7389<\/p>\n

12\u67085\u65e5\uff0c\u53d7\u8499\u7279\u5229\u5c14\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u7406\u4e8b\u4f1aMCFR\uff08Montreal Council on Foreign Relations\uff09\u7684\u9080\u8bf7\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u9a7b\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5927\u4f7f\u4e1b\u57f9\u6b66\u5728\u8499\u7279\u5229\u5c14\u53d1\u8868\u9898\u4e3a\u300a\u5982\u4f55\u4e86\u89e3\u548c\u8ba4\u8bc6\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u300b\uff08Understanding China’s foreign policy\uff09\u7684\u4e3b\u9898\u6f14\u8bb2\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u56fd\u9a7b\u8499\u7279\u5229\u5c14\u603b\u9886\u4e8b\u9648\u5b66\u660e\u3001\u9b41\u7701\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u526f\u5385\u957f\u00c9ric Marquis\u3001\u8499\u7279\u5229\u5c14\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u7406\u4e8b\u4f1a\u4e3b\u5e2dPierre Lemonde\u3001\u8499\u7279\u5229\u5c14\u5927\u5b66\u56fd\u9645\u6cd5\u6559\u6388Guy Lefebvre\u3001\u8499\u7279\u5229\u5c14\u5e02\u653f\u8bae\u5458Cathy Wong\u3001\u534e\u4e3a\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u526f\u603b\u88c1Steve Liu\u3001\u592a\u9633\u5267\u56e2\u516c\u5171\u4e8b\u52a1\u90e8\u957fAgathe Alie\u3001\u9ea6\u5409\u5c14\u5927\u5b66\u6821\u957fSuzanne Fortier\u3001\u6bd5\u96f7\u4e9a\u96c6\u56e2\u603b\u88c1\u674e\u56fd\u5f3a\u3001\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u9c8d\u5c14\u516c\u53f8\u526f\u603b\u88c1Henry Liu\u4ee5\u53ca\u6765\u81ea\u8d1d\u5c14\u516c\u53f8\u3001\u5e9e\u5df4\u8fea\u3001\u5927\u8499\u7279\u5229\u5c14\u5546\u4f1a\u3001\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u56fd\u5bb6\u53d1\u5c55\u94f6\u884c\u3001\u8499\u7279\u5229\u5c14\u94f6\u884c\u3001\u52a0\u9f0e\u94f6\u884c\u3001\u5170\u4e07\u7075\u516c\u53f8\u3001\u529b\u62d3\u94dd\u4e1a\u548c\u534e\u4eba\u793e\u533a\u7684\u4ee3\u8868\u7b49\u8fd1400\u4eba\u8046\u542c\u4e86\u8fd9\u6b21\u6f14\u8bb2\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014<\/p>\n

\u5973\u58eb\u4eec\u3001\u5148\u751f\u4eec\u3001\u670b\u53cb\u4eec\uff1a<\/p>\n

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\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4e2a\u662f\u65b0\u7586\u3002\u4e0a\u4e16\u7eaa90\u5e74\u4ee3\u81f32016\u5e74\uff0c\u65b0\u7586\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u6570\u5343\u8d77\u6050\u6016\u88ad\u51fb\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u5927\u91cf\u751f\u547d\u548c\u8d22\u4ea7\u635f\u5931\u3002\u65b0\u7586\u653f\u5e9c\u91c7\u53d6\u4e86\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u9884\u9632\u6027\u7684\u53cd\u6050\u548c\u53bb\u6781\u7aef\u5316\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u8bbe\u7acb\u804c\u4e1a\u6280\u80fd\u6559\u80b2\u57f9\u8bad\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff0c\u76ee\u7684\u662f\u5e2e\u52a9\u88ab\u66b4\u6050\u6781\u7aef\u601d\u60f3\u201c\u6d17\u8111\u201d\u7684\u4eba\u5458\u6446\u8131\u6781\u7aef\u601d\u60f3\u675f\u7f1a\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u804c\u4e1a\u6280\u80fd\u3002\u8fc7\u53bb3\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u65b0\u7586\u6ca1\u6709\u53d1\u751f\u4e00\u8d77\u66b4\u6050\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002\u8fd9\u4e0d\u4ec5\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u65b0\u7586\u4fdd\u6301\u7a33\u5b9a\u548c\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u53cd\u6050\u4e8b\u4e1a\u4f5c\u51fa\u4e86\u91cd\u8981\u8d21\u732e\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u4f9d\u6cd5\u4fdd\u62a4\u516c\u6c11\u7684\u5b97\u6559\u4fe1\u4ef0\u81ea\u7531\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u5404\u7c7b\u4fe1\u6559\u7fa4\u4f17\u8fd12\u4ebf\u4eba\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d2000\u591a\u4e07\u4eba\u662f\u7a46\u65af\u6797\u3002\u65b0\u7586\u73b0\u6709\u6e05\u771f\u5bfa2.44\u4e07\u5ea7\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u6bcf530\u4f4d\u7a46\u65af\u6797\u5c31\u62e5\u6709\u4e00\u5ea7\u6e05\u771f\u5bfa\uff0c\u6bd4\u4f8b\u8d85\u8fc7\u8bb8\u591a\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002\u65b0\u7586\u7684\u53cd\u6050\u548c\u53bb\u6781\u7aef\u5316\u5de5\u4f5c\u4e5f\u5f97\u5230\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u8ba4\u53ef\u3002\u4eca\u5e7410\u6708\uff0c\u670960\u591a\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u5728\u8054\u5927\u7b2c\u4e09\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e2d\u53d1\u8a00\u652f\u6301\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u65b0\u7586\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d30\u591a\u4e2a\u662f\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002<\/p>\n

\u65b0\u7586\u548c\u9999\u6e2f\u4e8b\u52a1\u7eaf\u5c5e\u4e2d\u56fd\u5185\u653f\u3002\u4f46\u4ee5\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e3a\u4ee3\u8868\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u897f\u65b9\u56fd\u5bb6\u6253\u7740\u4eba\u6743\u548c\u81ea\u7531\u7684\u5e4c\u5b50\uff0c\u4e0d\u65ad\u6c61\u8511\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u53cd\u6050\u548c\u53bb\u6781\u7aef\u5316\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u62b9\u9ed1\u201c\u4e00\u56fd\u4e24\u5236\u201d\uff0c\u7c97\u66b4\u5e72\u6d89\u4e2d\u56fd\u5185\u653f\uff0c\u4e25\u91cd\u8df5\u8e0f\u56fd\u9645\u6cd5\u548c\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u57fa\u672c\u51c6\u5219\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u6c11\u575a\u51b3\u7ef4\u62a4\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e3b\u6743\u3001\u5b89\u5168\u3001\u53d1\u5c55\u5229\u76ca\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7b49\u4e00\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u5229\u7528\u6d89\u7586\u548c\u9999\u6e2f\u95ee\u9898\u904f\u5236\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u4f01\u56fe\u7edd\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5f97\u901e\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u867d\u7136\u8fdc\u9694\u91cd\u6d0b\uff0c\u4f46\u4e24\u56fd\u4eba\u6c11\u4e00\u5411\u5bf9\u5f7c\u6b64\u62b1\u6709\u53cb\u597d\u611f\u60c5\u30021970\u5e74\u4e2d\u52a0\u5efa\u4ea4\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u4e24\u56fd\u5173\u7cfb\u603b\u4f53\u4fdd\u6301\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u8fd9\u7b26\u5408\u4e24\u56fd\u4eba\u6c11\u7684\u5171\u540c\u5229\u76ca\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u4f17\u6240\u5468\u77e5\u7684\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u5f53\u524d\u4e2d\u52a0\u5173\u7cfb\u9047\u5230\u56f0\u96be\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5bf9\u6b64\u6df1\u611f\u75db\u5fc3\uff0c\u4f46\u8d23\u4efb\u4e0d\u5728\u4e2d\u65b9\u3002\u52a0\u65b9\u5e94\u79c9\u6301\u76f8\u4e92\u5c0a\u91cd\u3001\u5e73\u7b49\u76f8\u5f85\u7684\u539f\u5219\uff0c\u5c3d\u65e9\u91c7\u53d6\u63aa\u65bd\u89e3\u51b3\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e24\u56fd\u5173\u7cfb\u91cd\u56de\u6b63\u8f68\u521b\u9020\u6761\u4ef6\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6211\u5230\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u4e24\u4e2a\u591a\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u8d70\u8bbf\u4e86\u591a\u4e2a\u57ce\u5e02\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u5e0c\u671b\u591a\u4e0e\u52a0\u5404\u754c\u8fdb\u884c\u4ea4\u6d41\uff0c\u542c\u53d6\u4ed6\u4eec\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u4e2d\u52a0\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4ea4\u6d41\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u7ed9\u6211\u7559\u4e0b\u6df1\u523b\u5370\u8c61\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u52a0\u5404\u754c\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u5c55\u73b0\u51fa\u6d53\u539a\u7684\u5174\u8da3\uff0c\u5bf9\u63a8\u52a8\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u52a1\u5b9e\u5408\u4f5c\u62b1\u6709\u5f88\u9ad8\u7684\u70ed\u60c5\u3002\u8499\u7279\u5229\u5c14\u662f\u4e00\u5ea7\u7f8e\u4e3d\u53c8\u6781\u5177\u6d3b\u529b\u548c\u521b\u65b0\u7cbe\u795e\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u5411\u6765\u53cb\u597d\uff0c\u5e76\u79ef\u6781\u5f00\u5c55\u5bf9\u534e\u5408\u4f5c\u3002\u5e0c\u671b\u5927\u5bb6\u7ee7\u7eed\u5173\u5fc3\u548c\u652f\u6301\u4e2d\u52a0\u5173\u7cfb\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u4e3a\u6b64\u6ce8\u5165\u65b0\u7684\u52a8\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014\u2014<\/p>\n

\u6b63\u5982\u4ece\u5927\u4f7f\u6240\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e2d\u52a0\u5e94\u79c9\u6301\u76f8\u4e92\u5c0a\u91cd\u3001\u5e73\u7b49\u76f8\u5f85\u7684\u539f\u5219\u6765\u5904\u7406\u597d\u4e24\u56fd\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u8fd9\u5bf9\u5404\u65b9\u90fd\u6709\u597d\u5904\u3002\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\uff0c\u8fd1\u4e9b\u5e74\u6765\u4e2d\u52a0\u4e24\u56fd\u7684\u76f8\u4e92\u6e17\u900f\u3001\u76f8\u4e92\u878d\u5408\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5bc6\u5207\u3002\u666e\u901a\u8bdd\u548c\u5e7f\u4e1c\u8bdd\u5df2\u7ecf\u6210\u4e3a\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u9664\u82f1\u8bed\u548c\u6cd5\u8bed\u5916\u4f7f\u7528\u4eba\u6570\u6700\u591a\u7684\u8bed\u8a00\uff0c2016\u5e74\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u666e\u67e5\u6570\u636e\u8868\u660e\u534e\u88d4\u5c45\u6c11\u4eba\u53e3\u5df2\u5360\u5168\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u4eba\u53e3\u76845%\uff0c\u603b\u6570\u8d85\u8fc7170\u4e07\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a\u7559\u5b66\u751f\u7b49\u6301\u975e\u5c45\u6c11\u7b7e\u8bc1\u8005\uff0c\u534e\u4eba\u4eba\u53e3\u8d85\u8fc7200\u4e07\u3002\u4ec52018\u5e74\uff0c\u5c31\u670914\u4e07\u4e2d\u56fd\u7559\u5b66\u751f\u5728\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5b66\u4e60\u3002\u5bf9\u9b41\u5317\u514b\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5df2\u6210\u4e3a\u4ec5\u6b21\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5927\u8d38\u6613\u4f19\u4f34\uff0c\u5bf9\u9b41\u5317\u514b\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u5177\u6709\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4fdd\u6301\u4e2d\u52a0\u5173\u7cfb\u826f\u6027\u53d1\u5c55\u5bf9\u9b41\u5317\u514b\u3001\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6765\u8bf4\u90fd\u662f\u975e\u5e38\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u4e03\u5929\u8bb0\u8005 \u989c\u5b8f \u5fb7\u660a \u68a6\u6eaa \u72ec\u7389 12\u67085\u65e5\uff0c\u53d7\u8499\u7279\u5229\u5c14\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u7406\u4e8b\u4f1aMCFR\uff08Montreal Council on Foreign Relations\uff09\u7684\u9080\u8bf7\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u9a7b\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5927\u4f7f\u4e1b\u57f9\u6b66\u5728\u8499\u7279\u5229\u5c14\u53d1\u8868\u9898\u4e3a\u300a\u5982\u4f55\u4e86\u89e3\u548c\u8ba4\u8bc6\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u300b\uff08Understanding China’s foreign policy\uff09\u7684\u4e3b\u9898\u6f14\u8bb2\u3002 \u4e2d\u56fd\u9a7b\u8499\u7279\u5229\u5c14\u603b\u9886\u4e8b\u9648\u5b66\u660e\u3001\u9b41\u7701\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u526f\u5385\u957f\u00c9ric Marquis\u3001\u8499\u7279\u5229\u5c14\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u7406\u4e8b\u4f1a\u4e3b\u5e2dPierre Lemonde\u3001\u8499\u7279\u5229\u5c14\u5927\u5b66\u56fd\u9645\u6cd5\u6559\u6388Guy Lefebvre\u3001\u8499\u7279\u5229\u5c14\u5e02\u653f\u8bae\u5458Cathy 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