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2018\u5e74\u540e\uff0c\u4ed6\u518d\u6ca1\u6709\u4e00\u90e8\u5f71\u89c6\u4f5c\u54c1\u4e0a\u6620\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u70ed\u8877\u4e8e\u4ee3\u8a00\u56fd\u9645\u5927\u724c\u4ea7\u54c1\u3001\u8dd1\u6d3b\u52a8\u3001\u9891\u7e41\u4e0a\u7efc\u827a\u8282\u76ee\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u201c\u6d41\u91cf\u5927\u738b\u201d\uff0c\u4ec5\u7c89\u4e1d\u5c31\u67095\u5343\u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u5a31\u4e50\u754c\u4e89\u62a2\u9080\u7ea6\u7684\u5bf9\u8c61\u3002\u6700\u6781\u7aef\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\u662f2017\u5e74\u64ad\u51fa\u7684\u7efc\u827a\u8282\u76ee\u300a72\u5c42\u697c\u300b\uff0c\u636e\u201c\u5a31\u4e50\u8d44\u672c\u8bba\u201d\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u6709\u4e1a\u5185\u7206\u6599\u4eba\u79f0\uff0c\u5f53\u5e74\u8282\u76ee\u7ec4\u7ed9\u5434\u4ea6\u51e1\u7684\u916c\u52b3\u662f8000\u4e07\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e86\u641e\u5b9a\u5434\u4ea6\u51e1\u7684\u6863\u671f\uff0c\u8fd8\u5e26\u5434\u4ea6\u51e1\u7684\u6bcd\u4eb2\u5728\u5317\u4eac\u7684\u9ad8\u6863\u5546\u573aSKP\u6d88\u8d39\u4e86600\u4e07\u5143\u3002\u8bbd\u523a\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u300a72\u5c42\u697c\u300b\u7684\u5236\u7247\u4e3b\u4efb\uff0c\u81f3\u4eca\u4ecd\u56e0\u4e3a\u5236\u7247\u56e2\u961f\u88ab\u6b20400\u591a\u4e07\u5143\u85aa\u8d44\u5728\u5fae\u535a\u7ef4\u6743\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u6210\u4e3a\u5927\u660e\u661f\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u5434\u4ea6\u51e1\u548c\u6bcd\u4eb2\u5728\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u76f8\u4f9d\u4e3a\u547d\uff0c\u4f1a\u62c5\u5fc3\u5bb6\u91cc\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u4e3b\u52a8\u4e3a\u6bcd\u4eb2\u5206\u5fe7\uff1b\u5728SM\u516c\u53f8\u505a\u7ec3\u4e60\u751f\u65f6\uff0c\u4ed6\u4f1a\u65f6\u523b\u4fdd\u6301\u793c\u8c8c\uff0c\u5bf9\u522b\u4eba\u5c0a\u91cd\u6709\u52a0\uff1b\u4f46\u56de\u56fd\u540e\u8fc5\u901f\u8d70\u4e0a\u5a31\u4e50\u5708\u9876\u7aef\u8ba9\u4ed6\u4ea7\u751f\u4e86\u9519\u89c9\uff0c\u89c9\u5f97\u81ea\u5df1\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e3a\u6240\u6b32\u4e3a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ece2013\u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u4e0d\u65ad\u6709\u5973\u5b69\u7206\u6599\u58f0\u8ba8\u5434\u4ea6\u51e1\u3002\u6700\u65e9\u7684\u7206\u6599\u4eba\u662f\u540c\u4e3aSM\u516c\u53f8\u7ec3\u4e60\u751f\u7684\u6797\u897f\u5a05\uff0c\u56e0\u624b\u673a\u88ab\u76d7\uff0c\u624b\u673a\u5185\u7167\u7247\u548c\u901a\u8bdd\u8bb0\u5f55\u66dd\u5149\u800c\u627f\u8ba4\u4e0e\u5434\u4ea6\u51e1\u6709\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u7ed3\u679c\u6ca1\u4eba\u76f8\u4fe1\u6797\u897f\u5a05\u7684\u8bdd\uff0c\u5434\u4ea6\u51e1\u7684\u7c89\u4e1d\u76f4\u6307\u6797\u897f\u5a05\u8e6d\u70ed\u5ea6\uff0c\u624b\u6bb5\u6076\u52a3\uff0c\u5bf9\u5979\u7f51\u7206\u3002\u63a5\u7740\u662f2016\u5e746\u670814\u53f7\uff0c\u7f51\u540d\u4e3a\u201c\u5c0fG\u5a1c\u201d\u7684\u7f51\u53cb\u5728\u7f51\u4e0a\u201c\u8ba8\u4f10\u201d\u5434\u4ea6\u51e1\u65e0\u6545\u6d88\u5931\uff0c\u906d\u5230\u7f51\u53cb\u8d28\u7591\u540e\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u629b\u51fa\u5e8a\u7167\u3001\u901a\u8baf\u8bb0\u5f55\u7b49\u5b9e\u9524\u8bc1\u636e\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4e8b\u4ef6\u8ddf\u5434\u4ea6\u51e1\u4ee5\u5f80\u201c\u5355\u7eaf\u3001\u771f\u8bda\u201d\u7684\u5f62\u8c61\u5b8c\u5168\u80cc\u9053\u800c\u9a70\uff0c\u5f15\u53d1\u8206\u8bba\u5173\u6ce8\u3002\u6309\u7406\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fd9\u6837\u5927\u7684\u4e11\u95fb\u4f1a\u8ba9\u5434\u4ea6\u51e1\u58f0\u540d\u53d7\u635f\uff0c\u6ca1\u60f3\u5230\u5374\u8ba9\u5434\u4ea6\u51e1\u66f4\u4e0a\u4e00\u5c42\u697c\u3002\u5c31\u5728\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7206\u51fa\u540e\u4e24\u5929\uff0c\u5434\u4ea6\u51e1\u5de5\u4f5c\u5ba4\u5c31\u53d1\u6587\u5ba3\u79f0\uff1a\u5434\u4ea6\u51e1\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u5927\u9646\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u7684\u5e7f\u544a\u3001\u7535\u5f71\u7b49\u6f14\u827a\u4e8b\u52a1\uff0c\u5c06\u7531\u8000\u83b1\u5f71\u89c6\u5168\u6743\u4ee3\u7406\u548c\u5168\u9762\u8d1f\u8d23\uff0c\u5e76\u80a9\u8d1f\u6b64\u95f4\u884d\u751f\u7684\u5404\u9879\u6f14\u827a\u4eba\u5458\u5408\u6cd5\u6743\u76ca\u7684\u8d23\u4efb\u3002\u8000\u83b1\u5f71\u89c6\u7684\u5b9e\u63a7\u4eba\u662f\u9999\u6e2f\u5a31\u4e50\u5708\u7684\u8d44\u672c\u5927\u9cc4\u7da6\u5efa\u8679\uff0c\u66fe\u7ecf\u767b\u4e0a\u80e1\u6da6\u5168\u7403\u5bcc\u8c6a\u699c\u3002\u4e8e\u662f\u968f\u7740\u8d44\u672c\u5165\u5c40\uff0c\u8206\u8bba\u8f6c\u5411\u3002\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4e2d\u8bd5\u56fe\u901a\u8fc7\u7f51\u7edc\u4e3a\u81ea\u5df1\u53d1\u58f0\u7684\u201c\u5c0fG\u5a1c\u201d\uff0c\u6210\u4e86\u88ab\u70ae\u8f70\u7684\u5bf9\u8c61\uff0c\u6700\u4e3a\u65e0\u8bed\u7684\u662f\u5f53\u65f6\u7684\u8206\u8bba\u98ce\u5411\uff0c\u5982\u7f51\u7edc\u5927V\u9a6c\u8587\u8587\u5ba3\u626c\u7684\u201c\u8fd8\u6709\u6bd4\u660e\u661fx\u7c89\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u7c89\u4e1d\u798f\u5229\u5417\uff1f\u201d\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u8457\u540d\u7f16\u5267\u516d\u516d\u7684\u201c\u957f\u5f97\u8fd9\u4e48\u597d\u770b\uff0c\u8fd8\u8981\u54c4\u4eba\uff0c\u966a\u5b8c\u7761\u8fd8\u8981\u88ab\u80cc\u53db\u201d\u7b49\u4e3a\u5434\u4ea6\u51e1\u6447\u65d7\u5450\u558a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e8e\u662f\u5434\u4ea6\u51e1\u50cf\u6ca1\u4e8b\u4eba\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u51fa\u5e2d\u5404\u79cd\u6d3b\u52a8\uff0c\u62ff\u522b\u4eba\u62ff\u4e0d\u5230\u7684\u5956\u9879\uff0c\u88ab\u4e00\u4e9b\u5f71\u89c6\u660e\u661f\uff0c\u5982\u5f90\u9759\u857e\u3001\u51af\u5c0f\u521a\u7b49\u4eba\u4ea4\u53e3\u79f0\u8d5e\uff0c\u7ee7\u7eed\u9876\u6d41\u7684\u795e\u8bdd\uff0c\u76f4\u5230\u4eca\u5e747\u670816\u65e5\u88ab\u201c\u60f3\u51fa\u540d\u201d\u7684\u7f51\u7ea2\u90fd\u7f8e\u7af9\u629b\u51fa\u201c\u9009\u5983\u201d\u3001\u201c\u4f7f\u7528\u65b0\u578b\u6bd2\u54c1\u6027\u4fb5\u672a\u6210\u5e74\u4eba\u201d\u7b49\u91cd\u78c5\u70b8\u5f39\u70ae\u8f70\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4ece2013\u5e74\u52302021\u5e74\u6a2a\u8de88\u5e74\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u91cc\uff0c\u6709\u4eba\u7edf\u8ba1\u6709\u591a\u8fbe31\u540d\u5973\u751f\u88ab\u5377\u5165\u5434\u4ea6\u51e1\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4e2d\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5df2\u66dd\u5149\u7684\u5973\u751f\u4e2d\u5e74\u7eaa\u6700\u5c0f\u7684\u5728\u51c6\u5907\u9ad8\u8003\uff0c\u5e74\u7eaa\u6700\u5927\u7684\u4e5f\u624d23\u5c81\u5de6\u53f3\u3002\u5927\u591a\u6570\u7684\u5973\u5b69\u90fd\u662f\u901a\u8fc7\u5434\u4ea6\u51e1\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u4eba\u5458\u6216\u8005\u7ecf\u7eaa\u4eba\u8054\u7cfb\uff0c\u4ee5\u9009\u89d2\u3001\u7b7e\u65b0\u4eba\u3001\u53d1\u798f\u5229\u770b\u8282\u76ee\u5f55\u5236\u7b49\u65b9\u5f0f\u7ea6\u51fa\u6765\u548c\u5434\u4ea6\u51e1\u89c1\u9762\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u8fd8\u6709\u4e0d\u5c11\u4eba\u7206\u6599\u8bf4\uff0c\u5bf9\u65b9\u8981\u6c42\u81ea\u5df1\u4ecb\u7ecd\u8eab\u8fb9\u957f\u5f97\u597d\u770b\u7684\u5973\u5b69\u7ed9\u5434\u4ea6\u51e1\u8ba4\u8bc6\uff0c\u6210\u529f\u540e\u8fd8\u6709\u5bf9\u5e94\u7684\u5956\u52b1\u6216\u8005\u62a5\u916c\uff0c\u591a\u4f4d\u5973\u751f\u4e5f\u6652\u51fa\u4e86\u5bf9\u5e94\u7684\u6b3e\u9879\u91d1\u989d\u4ee5\u53ca\u8f6c\u8d26\u8bb0\u5f55\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4fd7\u8bdd\u8bf4\u591a\u884c\u4e0d\u4e49\u5fc5\u81ea\u6bd9\uff0c\u8fd9\u6b21\u5434\u4ea6\u51e1\u6ca1\u6709\u90a3\u4e48\u597d\u8fd0\u4e86\uff0c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4e0e\u4ed6\u7b7e\u7ea6\u768416\u4e2a\u54c1\u724c\u5408\u4f5c\u65b9\u7b2c\u4e00\u65f6\u95f4\u505a\u51fa\u53cd\u5e94\uff0c\u4e0e\u4e4b\u5207\u5272\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u8b66\u65b9\u4e5f\u8fc5\u901f\u5165\u573a\uff0c\u5e76\u4e8e7\u670831\u65e5\u5ba3\u5e03\u5434\u4ea6\u51e1\u56e0\u6d89\u5acc\u5f3a\u5978\u7f6a\u88ab\u5211\u4e8b\u62d8\u7559\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5434\u4ea6\u51e1\u5f7b\u5e95\u51c9\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5916\u4ea4\u5b98\u6210\u9636\u4e0b\u56da<\/strong><\/h1>\n

\u57282018\u5e7412\u6708\u56e0\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d89\u5acc\u95f4\u8c0d\u6d3b\u52a8\u88ab\u902e\u6355\u7684\u5eb7\u660e\u51ef\uff08Michael Kovrig\uff09\u4e5f\u662f\u79fb\u6c11\u7684\u540e\u4ee3\u3002\u4ed6\u7684\u7956\u7236\u662f\u5728\u5308\u7259\u5229\u51fa\u751f\u7684\u5965\u5730\u5229\u5b9e\u4e1a\u5bb6 Joseph Kuchar\uff0c1951\u5e74\u4ece\u6377\u514b\u65af\u6d1b\u4f10\u514b\u79fb\u6c11\u5230\u8499\u7279\u5229\u5c14\u3002\u5eb7\u660e\u51ef\u57281970\u5e74\u51fa\u751f\u4e8e\u591a\u4f26\u591a\uff0c1994\u5e74\u6bd5\u4e1a\u4e8e\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u5927\u5b66\u82f1\u6587\u7cfb\u3002\u57281996\u52301999\u5e74\u4e4b\u95f4\uff0c\u4ed6\u62c5\u4efb\u5308\u7259\u5229\u6447\u6eda\u4e50\u961f\u201c\u7834\u4ea7\u201d(Bankrupt) \u7684\u4e3b\u5531\uff0c\u827a\u540d\u201cMichael K\u201d\uff0c\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u65f6\u95f4\u90fd\u4f4f\u5728\u5308\u7259\u5229\u7684\u5e03\u8fbe\u4f69\u65af\uff0c\u9760\u5531\u6b4c\u3001\u6559\u82f1\u8bed\u5e76\u4e3a\u8be5\u5e02\u7684\u4e00\u5bb6\u62a5\u7eb8\u6295\u7a3f\u4e3a\u751f\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u4ed6\u4e5f\u540c\u65f6\u62e5\u6709\u5308\u7259\u5229\u56fd\u7c4d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u5446\u4e86\u51e0\u5e74\u540e\uff0c\u5eb7\u660e\u51ef\u524d\u5f80\u7f8e\u56fd\u8bfb\u4e66\uff0c\u4e8e2003\u5e74\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u5927\u5b66\u56fd\u9645\u4e8b\u52a1\u4e13\u4e1a\u7855\u58eb\u5b66\u4f4d\u3002\u6bd5\u4e1a\u540e\u66fe\u5728\u7ebd\u7ea6\u548c\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u7684\u5580\u5e03\u5c14\u5e02\u4e3a\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u5f00\u53d1\u8ba1\u5212\u7f72\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u62c5\u4efb\u6218\u7565\u901a\u8baf\u4e13\u5bb6\u3002<\/p>\n

2010\u52302016\u5e74\u4e4b\u95f4\uff0c\u5eb7\u660e\u51ef\u8fdb\u5165\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5916\u4ea4\u90e8\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u5934\u4e24\u5e74\u88ab\u6d3e\u9a7b\u9999\u6e2f\uff0c\u540e\u56db\u5e74\u5219\u5728\u9a7b\u5317\u4eac\u5927\u4f7f\u9986\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u62c5\u4efb\u8fc7\u4e00\u7b49\u79d8\u4e66\u517c\u526f\u9886\u4e8b\u7b49\u804c\u4f4d\uff0c\u53c2\u52a0\u8fc7\u591a\u6b21\u516c\u5f00\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u79bb\u5f00\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u4f7f\u9986\u540e\uff0c\u80fd\u8bf4\u4e00\u53e3\u6d41\u5229\u6c49\u8bed\u7684\u4ed6\u5148\u662f\u83b7\u5f97\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7814\u7a76\u516c\u53f8\u8363\u9f0e\u54a8\u8be2\uff08Rhodium Group\uff09\u4e2d\u56fd\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u7684\u804c\u4f4d\uff0c\u4e4b\u540e\u4e8e2017\u5e742\u6708\uff0c\u52a0\u5165\u56fd\u9645\u5371\u673a\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff08International Crisis Group\uff09\u62c5\u4efb\u4e1c\u5317\u4e9a\u9ad8\u7ea7\u987e\u95ee\uff0c\u5e38\u9a7b\u9999\u6e2f\u3002\u4ed6\u662f\u8be5\u7ec4\u7ec7\u4e2d\u671d\u9c9c\u95ee\u9898\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u5357\u6d77\u95ee\u9898\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u6d89\u53ca\u4e2d\u56fd\u5730\u533a\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u8457\u540d\u4e13\u5bb6\uff0c\u591a\u6b21\u53d1\u8868\u6279\u8bc4\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u8a00\u8bba\uff0c\u5e76\u4e3b\u5f20\u5bf9\u534e\u91c7\u53d6\u5f3a\u786c\u6001\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5eb7\u660e\u51ef\u6700\u540e\u4efb\u804c\u7684\u8fd9\u4e2a\u56fd\u9645\u5371\u673a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u6210\u7acb\u4e8e1995\u5e74\uff0c\u603b\u90e8\u4f4d\u4e8e\u6bd4\u5229\u65f6\u7684\u5e03\u9c81\u585e\u5c14\uff0c\u81ea\u6211\u6807\u699c\u4e3a\u72ec\u7acb\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u4efb\u52a1\u662f\u5f00\u5c55\u5b9e\u5730\u7814\u7a76\u5e76\u63d0\u4f9b\u653f\u7b56\u5efa\u8bae\u4ee5\u201c\u907f\u514d\u533a\u57df\u51b2\u7a81\u201d\u4ee5\u53ca\u5728\u5168\u7403\u5404\u5730\u8fdb\u884c\u5b9e\u5730\u5206\u6790\u4e0e\u6e38\u8bf4\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u7ecf\u5e38\u63d0\u51fa\u201c\u5371\u673a\u89c2\u6d4b\u201d\u5411\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u53ef\u80fd\u7206\u53d1\u5b89\u5168\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u5730\u533a\u53d1\u51fa\u8b66\u544a\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u591a\u6b21\u53d1\u8868\u628a\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5357\u6d77\u3001\u53f0\u6d77\u7b49\u5730\u5217\u5165\u51b2\u7a81\u6076\u5316\u5730\u533a\u201d\u7684\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u548c\u7d22\u7f57\u65af\u57fa\u91d1\u4f1a(Soros Foundation)\u3001\u56fd\u9645\u5171\u548c\u7814\u7a76\u9662(IRI, International Republican Institute)\u3001\u5168\u56fd\u56fd\u9645\u4e8b\u52a1\u6c11\u4e3b\u5b66\u9662(NDI, The National DemocraticInstitute for International Affairs)\u3001\u81ea\u7531\u4e4b\u5bb6(FreedomHouse)\u3001\u4e1d\u7ef8\u4e4b\u8def\u57fa\u91d1\u4f1a(Silkroad Foundation)\u3001\u548c\u5e73\u961f(Peace Corps)\u3001\u56fd\u5bb6\u6c11\u4e3b\u57fa\u91d1\u4f1a(NED, NationalEndowment for Democracy)\u7b49\u4e00\u9053\u6d3b\u8dc3\u5728\u5404\u5730\u7206\u53d1\u7684\u201c\u989c\u8272\u9769\u547d\u201d\u80cc\u540e\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u73b0\u4efb\u4e3b\u5e2d\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u524d\u603b\u7edf\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u7684\u7279\u522b\u987e\u95ee\u9a6c\u5229\uff08Robert Malley\uff09\uff0c\u672b\u4ee3\u6e2f\u7763\u5f6d\u5b9a\u5eb7\u4e5f\u66fe\u662f\u8be5\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u8054\u5408\u4e3b\u5e2d\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002<\/p>\n

2018\u5e7412\u670810\u65e5\uff0c\u5eb7\u660e\u51ef\u4ee5\u6d89\u5acc\u5371\u5bb3\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u7f6a\u88ab\u4e2d\u56fd\u8b66\u65b9\u5728\u5317\u4eac\u6293\u83b7\u3002\u6839\u636e\u76ee\u524d\u5df2\u7ecf\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u5eb7\u660e\u51ef\u52a0\u5165\u56fd\u9645\u5371\u673a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u4ee5\u540e\uff0c\u7ecf\u5e38\u6301\u5546\u52a1\u7b7e\u8bc1\u5165\u5883\uff0c\u201c\u901a\u8fc7\u4e2d\u56fd\u5883\u5185\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u4eba\uff0c\u7a83\u53d6\u3001\u523a\u63a2\u4e2d\u56fd\u654f\u611f\u4fe1\u606f\u548c\u60c5\u62a5\u3002\u201d\u4e0e\u4ed6\u540c\u65f6\u88ab\u6293\u7684\u8fd8\u6709\u5c45\u4f4f\u5728\u4e2d\u671d\u8fb9\u5883\u3001\u5e38\u5728\u671d\u9c9c\u505a\u751f\u610f\u7684\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u4eba\u65af\u5e15\u5f17\uff08Michael Spavor\uff09\uff0c\u4ed6\u662f\u5eb7\u660e\u51ef\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u60c5\u62a5\u5173\u7cfb\u4eba\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4eca\u5e743\u6708\u4efd\uff0c\u5eb7\u660e\u51ef\u548c\u65af\u5e15\u5f17\u6848\u5206\u522b\u5728\u5317\u4eac\u548c\u4e39\u4e1c\u5f00\u5ead\u5ba1\u7406\uff0c\u4f46\u7531\u4e8e\u6d89\u53ca\u56fd\u5bb6\u673a\u5bc6\uff0c\u5ead\u5ba1\u6ca1\u6709\u516c\u5f00\uff0c\u5ead\u5ba1\u540e\u4e5f\u6ca1\u6709\u5ba3\u5224\uff0c\u4e0d\u8fc7\u76f8\u4fe1\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u7ed3\u5c40\u5e76\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6bd4\u5434\u4ea6\u51e1\u597d\u591a\u5c11\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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\u4ece2013\u5e74\u52302021\u5e74\u6a2a\u8de88\u5e74\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u91cc\uff0c\u6709\u4eba\u7edf\u8ba1\u6709\u591a\u8fbe31\u540d\u5973\u751f\u88ab\u5377\u5165\u5434\u4ea6\u51e1\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4e2d\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5df2\u66dd\u5149\u7684\u5973\u751f\u4e2d\u5e74\u7eaa\u6700\u5c0f\u7684\u5728\u51c6\u5907\u9ad8\u8003\uff0c\u5e74\u7eaa\u6700\u5927\u7684\u4e5f\u624d23\u5c81\u5de6\u53f3\u3002\u5927\u591a\u6570\u7684\u5973\u5b69\u90fd\u662f\u901a\u8fc7\u5434\u4ea6\u51e1\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u4eba\u5458\u6216\u8005\u7ecf\u7eaa\u4eba\u8054\u7cfb\uff0c\u4ee5\u9009\u89d2\u3001\u7b7e\u65b0\u4eba\u3001\u53d1\u798f\u5229\u770b\u8282\u76ee\u5f55\u5236\u7b49\u65b9\u5f0f\u7ea6\u51fa\u6765\u548c\u5434\u4ea6\u51e1\u89c1\u9762\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u8fd8\u6709\u4e0d\u5c11\u4eba\u7206\u6599\u8bf4\uff0c\u5bf9\u65b9\u8981\u6c42\u81ea\u5df1\u4ecb\u7ecd\u8eab\u8fb9\u957f\u5f97\u597d\u770b\u7684\u5973\u5b69\u7ed9\u5434\u4ea6\u51e1\u8ba4\u8bc6\uff0c\u6210\u529f\u540e\u8fd8\u6709\u5bf9\u5e94\u7684\u5956\u52b1\u6216\u8005\u62a5\u916c\uff0c\u591a\u4f4d\u5973\u751f\u4e5f\u6652\u51fa\u4e86\u5bf9\u5e94\u7684\u6b3e\u9879\u91d1\u989d\u4ee5\u53ca\u8f6c\u8d26\u8bb0\u5f55\u3002 \u4fd7\u8bdd\u8bf4\u591a\u884c\u4e0d\u4e49\u5fc5\u81ea\u6bd9\uff0c\u8fd9\u6b21\u5434\u4ea6\u51e1\u6ca1\u6709\u90a3\u4e48\u597d\u8fd0\u4e86\uff0c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4e0e\u4ed6\u7b7e\u7ea6\u768416\u4e2a\u54c1\u724c\u5408\u4f5c\u65b9\u7b2c\u4e00\u65f6\u95f4\u505a\u51fa\u53cd\u5e94\uff0c\u4e0e\u4e4b\u5207\u5272\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u8b66\u65b9\u4e5f\u8fc5\u901f\u5165\u573a\uff0c\u5e76\u4e8e7\u670831\u65e5\u5ba3\u5e03\u5434\u4ea6\u51e1\u56e0\u6d89\u5acc\u5f3a\u5978\u7f6a\u88ab\u5211\u4e8b\u62d8\u7559\u3002 \u5434\u4ea6\u51e1\u5f7b\u5e95\u51c9\u4e86\u3002 \u5916\u4ea4\u5b98\u6210\u9636\u4e0b\u56da \u57282018\u5e7412\u6708\u56e0\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d89\u5acc\u95f4\u8c0d\u6d3b\u52a8\u88ab\u902e\u6355\u7684\u5eb7\u660e\u51ef\uff08Michael Kovrig\uff09\u4e5f\u662f\u79fb\u6c11\u7684\u540e\u4ee3\u3002\u4ed6\u7684\u7956\u7236\u662f\u5728\u5308\u7259\u5229\u51fa\u751f\u7684\u5965\u5730\u5229\u5b9e\u4e1a\u5bb6 Joseph Kuchar\uff0c1951\u5e74\u4ece\u6377\u514b\u65af\u6d1b\u4f10\u514b\u79fb\u6c11\u5230\u8499\u7279\u5229\u5c14\u3002\u5eb7\u660e\u51ef\u57281970\u5e74\u51fa\u751f\u4e8e\u591a\u4f26\u591a\uff0c1994\u5e74\u6bd5\u4e1a\u4e8e\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u5927\u5b66\u82f1\u6587\u7cfb\u3002\u57281996\u52301999\u5e74\u4e4b\u95f4\uff0c\u4ed6\u62c5\u4efb\u5308\u7259\u5229\u6447\u6eda\u4e50\u961f\u201c\u7834\u4ea7\u201d(Bankrupt) \u7684\u4e3b\u5531\uff0c\u827a\u540d\u201cMichael K\u201d\uff0c\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u65f6\u95f4\u90fd\u4f4f\u5728\u5308\u7259\u5229\u7684\u5e03\u8fbe\u4f69\u65af\uff0c\u9760\u5531\u6b4c\u3001\u6559\u82f1\u8bed\u5e76\u4e3a\u8be5\u5e02\u7684\u4e00\u5bb6\u62a5\u7eb8\u6295\u7a3f\u4e3a\u751f\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u4ed6\u4e5f\u540c\u65f6\u62e5\u6709\u5308\u7259\u5229\u56fd\u7c4d\u3002 \u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u5446\u4e86\u51e0\u5e74\u540e\uff0c\u5eb7\u660e\u51ef\u524d\u5f80\u7f8e\u56fd\u8bfb\u4e66\uff0c\u4e8e2003\u5e74\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u5927\u5b66\u56fd\u9645\u4e8b\u52a1\u4e13\u4e1a\u7855\u58eb\u5b66\u4f4d\u3002\u6bd5\u4e1a\u540e\u66fe\u5728\u7ebd\u7ea6\u548c\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u7684\u5580\u5e03\u5c14\u5e02\u4e3a\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u5f00\u53d1\u8ba1\u5212\u7f72\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u62c5\u4efb\u6218\u7565\u901a\u8baf\u4e13\u5bb6\u3002 2010\u52302016\u5e74\u4e4b\u95f4\uff0c\u5eb7\u660e\u51ef\u8fdb\u5165\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5916\u4ea4\u90e8\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u5934\u4e24\u5e74\u88ab\u6d3e\u9a7b\u9999\u6e2f\uff0c\u540e\u56db\u5e74\u5219\u5728\u9a7b\u5317\u4eac\u5927\u4f7f\u9986\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u62c5\u4efb\u8fc7\u4e00\u7b49\u79d8\u4e66\u517c\u526f\u9886\u4e8b\u7b49\u804c\u4f4d\uff0c\u53c2\u52a0\u8fc7\u591a\u6b21\u516c\u5f00\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002 \u79bb\u5f00\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u4f7f\u9986\u540e\uff0c\u80fd\u8bf4\u4e00\u53e3\u6d41\u5229\u6c49\u8bed\u7684\u4ed6\u5148\u662f\u83b7\u5f97\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7814\u7a76\u516c\u53f8\u8363\u9f0e\u54a8\u8be2\uff08Rhodium Group\uff09\u4e2d\u56fd\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u7684\u804c\u4f4d\uff0c\u4e4b\u540e\u4e8e2017\u5e742\u6708\uff0c\u52a0\u5165\u56fd\u9645\u5371\u673a\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff08International Crisis Group\uff09\u62c5\u4efb\u4e1c\u5317\u4e9a\u9ad8\u7ea7\u987e\u95ee\uff0c\u5e38\u9a7b\u9999\u6e2f\u3002\u4ed6\u662f\u8be5\u7ec4\u7ec7\u4e2d\u671d\u9c9c\u95ee\u9898\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u5357\u6d77\u95ee\u9898\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u6d89\u53ca\u4e2d\u56fd\u5730\u533a\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u8457\u540d\u4e13\u5bb6\uff0c\u591a\u6b21\u53d1\u8868\u6279\u8bc4\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u8a00\u8bba\uff0c\u5e76\u4e3b\u5f20\u5bf9\u534e\u91c7\u53d6\u5f3a\u786c\u6001\u5ea6\u3002 \u5eb7\u660e\u51ef\u6700\u540e\u4efb\u804c\u7684\u8fd9\u4e2a\u56fd\u9645\u5371\u673a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u6210\u7acb\u4e8e1995\u5e74\uff0c\u603b\u90e8\u4f4d\u4e8e\u6bd4\u5229\u65f6\u7684\u5e03\u9c81\u585e\u5c14\uff0c\u81ea\u6211\u6807\u699c\u4e3a\u72ec\u7acb\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u4efb\u52a1\u662f\u5f00\u5c55\u5b9e\u5730\u7814\u7a76\u5e76\u63d0\u4f9b\u653f\u7b56\u5efa\u8bae\u4ee5\u201c\u907f\u514d\u533a\u57df\u51b2\u7a81\u201d\u4ee5\u53ca\u5728\u5168\u7403\u5404\u5730\u8fdb\u884c\u5b9e\u5730\u5206\u6790\u4e0e\u6e38\u8bf4\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u7ecf\u5e38\u63d0\u51fa\u201c\u5371\u673a\u89c2\u6d4b\u201d\u5411\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u53ef\u80fd\u7206\u53d1\u5b89\u5168\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u5730\u533a\u53d1\u51fa\u8b66\u544a\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u591a\u6b21\u53d1\u8868\u628a\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5357\u6d77\u3001\u53f0\u6d77\u7b49\u5730\u5217\u5165\u51b2\u7a81\u6076\u5316\u5730\u533a\u201d\u7684\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u548c\u7d22\u7f57\u65af\u57fa\u91d1\u4f1a(Soros Foundation)\u3001\u56fd\u9645\u5171\u548c\u7814\u7a76\u9662(IRI, International Republican Institute)\u3001\u5168\u56fd\u56fd\u9645\u4e8b\u52a1\u6c11\u4e3b\u5b66\u9662(NDI, The National DemocraticInstitute for International Affairs)\u3001\u81ea\u7531\u4e4b\u5bb6(FreedomHouse)\u3001\u4e1d\u7ef8\u4e4b\u8def\u57fa\u91d1\u4f1a(Silkroad Foundation)\u3001\u548c\u5e73\u961f(Peace Corps)\u3001\u56fd\u5bb6\u6c11\u4e3b\u57fa\u91d1\u4f1a(NED, NationalEndowment for Democracy)\u7b49\u4e00\u9053\u6d3b\u8dc3\u5728\u5404\u5730\u7206\u53d1\u7684\u201c\u989c\u8272\u9769\u547d\u201d\u80cc\u540e\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u73b0\u4efb\u4e3b\u5e2d\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u524d\u603b\u7edf\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u7684\u7279\u522b\u987e\u95ee\u9a6c\u5229\uff08Robert Malley\uff09\uff0c\u672b\u4ee3\u6e2f\u7763\u5f6d\u5b9a\u5eb7\u4e5f\u66fe\u662f\u8be5\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u8054\u5408\u4e3b\u5e2d\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002 2018\u5e7412\u670810\u65e5\uff0c\u5eb7\u660e\u51ef\u4ee5\u6d89\u5acc\u5371\u5bb3\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u7f6a\u88ab\u4e2d\u56fd\u8b66\u65b9\u5728\u5317\u4eac\u6293\u83b7\u3002\u6839\u636e\u76ee\u524d\u5df2\u7ecf\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u5eb7\u660e\u51ef\u52a0\u5165\u56fd\u9645\u5371\u673a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u4ee5\u540e\uff0c\u7ecf\u5e38\u6301\u5546\u52a1\u7b7e\u8bc1\u5165\u5883\uff0c\u201c\u901a\u8fc7\u4e2d\u56fd\u5883\u5185\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u4eba\uff0c\u7a83\u53d6\u3001\u523a\u63a2\u4e2d\u56fd\u654f\u611f\u4fe1\u606f\u548c\u60c5\u62a5\u3002\u201d\u4e0e\u4ed6\u540c\u65f6\u88ab\u6293\u7684\u8fd8\u6709\u5c45\u4f4f\u5728\u4e2d\u671d\u8fb9\u5883\u3001\u5e38\u5728\u671d\u9c9c\u505a\u751f\u610f\u7684\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u4eba\u65af\u5e15\u5f17\uff08Michael … Read 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